Probability Calculator

Probability of an event

Probability
1/13
0.0769 · 7.69%
Doesn't happen
12/13
0.9231 · 92.31%
Odds in favour
1 : 12

Two independent events

As a fraction, decimal or %, e.g. 1/6, 0.5 or 50%
Both A and B
8.33%
0.0833
A or B (at least one)
58.33%
0.5833
Exactly one
50%
0.5
Neither
41.67%
0.4167

Repeated tries

At least once
51.77%
0.5177
Every time
0.08%
0.0008
Never
48.23%
0.4823

What is probability?

Probability measures how likely an event is, on a scale from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). When all outcomes are equally likely, it's the number of favourable outcomes divided by the total number of outcomes. This calculator gives the answer as a fraction, decimal and percentage, combines two independent events, and finds the chance of something happening at least once in several tries.

Probability formulas

P(E) = favourable ÷ total · P(not E) = 1 − P(E) · P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B) · P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A) × P(B) · P(at least once in n) = 1 − (1 − p)ⁿ

The 'and' and 'or' rules here assume the events are independent, meaning one doesn't affect the other, like a coin toss and a dice roll. For events that can't happen together, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B).

Common mistakes

  • Probabilities are never below 0 or above 1. If you get 1.2, something has been counted twice.
  • Past results don't change independent events: after five heads in a row, the next toss is still 1/2.
  • 'At least once' is easiest through the complement: 1 − P(never). The chance of at least one six in 4 rolls is 1 − (5/6)⁴ ≈ 51.77%.
  • Odds and probability differ: a probability of 1/4 means odds of 1 : 3 (one favourable to three unfavourable).
  • Two dice have 36 equally likely outcomes, not 11 totals. A sum of 7 has 6 ways and is the most likely total.

Worked example: drawing a king

  1. A card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards
  2. There are 4 kings, so 4 favourable outcomes out of 52
  3. P(king) = 4/52 = 1/13 ≈ 0.0769, or 7.69%
  4. P(not a king) = 1 − 1/13 = 12/13, or 92.31%
  5. Odds in favour of a king: 1 : 12

Probabilities of common events

Coin, dice and card questions from school textbooks.

EventFavourable / totalProbabilityPercentage
Heads on a coin1/21/250%
A 6 on a dice1/61/616.67%
An even number on a dice3/61/250%
A king from a deck4/521/137.69%
A heart from a deck13/521/425%
A red face card6/523/2611.54%
A sum of 7 with two dice6/361/616.67%
Two heads with two coins1/41/425%

A standard deck has 52 cards: 4 suits of 13, with 12 face cards (jack, queen and king).

Frequently Asked Questions

Divide the number of favourable outcomes by the total number of equally likely outcomes. The chance of rolling an even number on a dice is 3/6 = 1/2, or 50%.
Work out the chance of no sixes, (5/6)⁴ ≈ 0.4823, and subtract it from 1. That gives about 0.5177, or 51.77%.
For independent events, multiply for 'and': a 6 on a dice and heads on a coin is 1/6 × 1/2 = 1/12. For 'or', add and subtract the overlap: 1/6 + 1/2 − 1/12 = 7/12.
Probability compares favourable outcomes with all outcomes; odds compare favourable with unfavourable. Drawing a king has probability 1/13 but odds of 1 : 12.
No. 0 means impossible and 1 means certain, so every probability lies between them. As a percentage, it's between 0% and 100%.